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Everyone assumes AI will destroy industries overnight.
So we looked at every technology revolution that actually killed a major industry — streaming, digital cameras, online booking, e-commerce, mobile phones — and measured how long it took.
The answer surprised us.
The data says you have years, not months.
But you don't have decades.
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• Blockbuster: 7 years from Netflix launch to bankruptcy
• Print newspaper ads: ~6 years to lose 50% of revenue
• Coal power: ~10 years to lose 50%, still declining
• Travel agencies: 8 years from online booking to mass closure
• Landline telephones: ~8 years to lose 50%, 15 years of decline
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No major industry has ever lost more than 50% of its value in under 4 years from technology disruption alone.
Individual companies can die in days. Industries die in years. The question is which industries are on the clock — and how much time you actually have.
— Scott Covert,
AI Stock Market Impacts
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