Input Factors
Stock Universe
23 public tickers + SpaceX pending IPO — 7 sub-sectors, mcap tier, backlog
Live
Gov Contract Exposure
Golden Dome ($13.4B FY26 + $151B SHIELD), NASA CLPS, SDA Tracking Layer, award flow
Monthly
Launch / Test Risk
Upcoming launches per ticker, success/failure historical T+0/T+1 impact
Live
Bull / Bear Per Stock
Per-ticker thesis pairs — growth case vs failure-risk case, scored
Qtr
Cross-Stock Effects
Launch ↔ Components ↔ Defense propagation; SpaceX-IPO + Golden Dome correlation clusters
Qtr
Historical Precedent
Iridium 1999 bankruptcy, 2020-22 space-SPAC bust + survivors, SpaceX 2002→$2T, SDI cycle
6mo
Expert Opinions
Bull (ARK / space-economy bulls) vs bear (SPAC-bust skeptics), COI-weighted
Monthly
Upside-Potential Tier
Mature 2x / Growth 5x / Asymmetric 50x+ classification per ticker
Live
Calculation Engine
Phase 1
Per-stock base scoring
24 stocks × 6 components
Phase 2
Cross-stock propagation
Launch ↔ Components ↔ Defense
Phase 3
Score ranking & tier
Conviction score + upside tier
| Stock | Potential | Score | 1 mo | 6 mo | 12 mo | 24 mo | 60 mo |
|---|